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Public understanding of climate change-related sea-level rise

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Acknowledgments The authors wish to thank NZ SeaRise Programme researchers Nick Golledge, Judy Lawrence, Richard Levy, and Tim Naish for reviewing drafts of this manuscript. Author Contributions Conceptualization: Rebecca K. Priestley, Taciano L. Milfont. Formal analysis: Taciano L. Milfont. Funding acquisition: Rebecca K. Priestley. Methodology: Rebecca K. Priestley, Taciano L. Milfont. Project administration: Rebecca K. Priestley. Resources: Zoe¨ Heine. Supervision: Rebecca K. Priestley. Writing – original draft: Rebecca K. Priestley. Writing – review & editing: Zoe¨ Heine, Taciano L. Milfont. References 1. IPCC, 2019. Summary for Policymakers. In: Po¨rtner H-O, Roberts DC, Masson-Delmotte V, Zhai P, Tignor M, Poloczanska EK, et. al., editors. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate. 2019. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/chapter/summary-for-policymakers/ 2. Sundblad E-L, Biel A, Ga¨rling T. Knowledge and Confidence in Knowledge About Climate Change Among Experts, Journalists, Politicians, and Laypersons. Environ. Behav. 2009; 41: 281–302. https:// doi.org/10.1177/0013916508314998 3. Milfont TL, Wilson MS, Sibley CG. The public’s belief in climate change and its human cause are increasing over time. PLOS ONE. 2017; 12: e0174246. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0174246 PMID: 28319190 4. Whitmarsh L. What’s in a name? Commonalities and differences in public understanding of “climate change” and “global warming”. Public Underst. Sci. 2009; 18: 401–420. https://doi.org/10.1177/ 0963662506073088

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5. Gilden J, Peters E. Public Knowledge, Scientific Literacy, Numeracy, and Perceptions of Climate Change. in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science (Oxford University Press, 2017) DOI: 10. 1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.305 6. Covi MP, Kain DJ. Sea-Level Rise Risk Communication: Public Understanding, Risk Perception, and Attitudes about Information. Environ. Commun. 2016; 10: 612–633. https://doi.org/10.1080/17524032. 2015.1056541 7. Thomas M, Pidgeon N, Whitmarsh L, Ballinger R. Mental models of sea-level change: A mixed methods analysis on the Severn Estuary, UK. Glob. Environ. Change. 2015; 33: 71–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. gloenvcha.2015.04.009 8. Akerlof K, Covi MP. Rohring E. Communicating Sea Level Rise. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science.Oxford University Press; 2017. https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013. 417 9. Taherkhani M, Vitousek S, Barnard P, Frazer N, Anderson T, Fletcher C. Sea-level rise exponentially increases coastal flood frequency. Sci. Rep. 2020; 10: 6466. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020- 62188-4 PMID: 32300112 10. Oppenheimer M, Glavovic BC, Hinkel J, van de Wal R, Magnan AK, Abd-Elgawad A, et al. Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low-Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities. In: Po¨rtner H-O, Roberts DC, Masson-Delmotte V, Zhai P, Tignor M, Poloczanska EK, et. al. editors. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate. 2019. Available from: https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/ chapter/chapter-4-sea-level-rise-and-implications-for-low-lying-islands-coasts-and-communities/

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11. Church J, Clark P, Cazenave A, Gregory J, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, et. al. Sea level change. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, et. al., editors. Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the PLOS ONE Public understanding of climate change-related sea-level rise PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254348 July 9, 2021 9 / 12