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The impact of climate variability on agricultural employment in Mexico from 1980–2017

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Funding acquisition: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Mar- tı´nez Salgado. Investigation: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Methodology: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Project administration: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo. Resources: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa, Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Software: Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Supervision: Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Validation: Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Visualization: Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. Writing – original draft: Karla Arlae Sa´nchez Guijosa. Writing – review & editing: Guillermo Murray-Tortarolo, Mario Martı´nez Salgado. References 1. Iizumi T, Ramankutty N. Changes in yield variability of major crops for 1981–2010 explained by climate change. Environ Res Lett [Internet]. 2016; 11(3):034003. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/ 1748-9326/11/3/034003 2. Sultan B, Defrance D, Iizumi T. Evidence of crop production losses in West Africa due to historical global warming in two crop models. Sci Rep [Internet]. 2019; 9(1). Available from: https://doi.org/10.1038/ s41598-019-49167-0 PMID: 31492929 3. Moura da Silva EH, Silva Antolin LA, Zanon AJ, Soares Andrade A Junior, Antunes de Souza H, dos Santos Carvalho K, et al. Impact assessment of soybean yield and water productivity in Brazil due to cli-

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mate change. Eur J Agron [Internet]. 2021; 129(126329):126329. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10. 1016/j.eja.2021.126329 4. Ciais P, Reichstein M, Viovy N, Granier A, Oge´e J, Allard V, et al. Europe-wide reduction in primary pro- ductivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature [Internet]. 2005; 437(7058):529–33. Available from: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature03972 https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03972 PMID: 16177786 5. Beillouin D, Schauberger B, Bastos A, Ciais P, Makowski D. Impact of extreme weather conditions on European crop production in 2018. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci [Internet]. 2020; 375 (1810):20190510. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0510 PMID: 32892735 6. Olmstead AL, Rhode PW. Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839– 2009. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A [Internet]. 2011; 108(2):480–5. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1073/ pnas.1008279108 PMID: 21187376 7. Zipper SC, Qiu J, Kucharik CJ. Drought effects on US maize and soybean production: spatiotemporal patterns and historical changes. Environ Res Lett [Internet]. 2016; 11(9):094021. Available from: http:// dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094021 8. Pearson LJ, Nelson R, Crimp S, Langridge J. Interpretive review of conceptual frameworks and research models that inform Australia’s agricultural vulnerability to climate change. Environ Model Softw [Internet]. 2011; 26(2):113–23. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.07.001

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9. Dun O, Klocker N, Farbotko C, McMichael C. Climate change adaptation in agriculture: Learning from an international labour mobility programme in Australia and the Pacific Islands region. Environ Sci Pol- icy [Internet]. 2023; 139:250–73. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.10.017 10. Liu Q, Shen B, Wen X. Role of climate-smart agriculture in fighting against climate change in competi- tive supply chains. Int J Prod Econ [Internet]. 2023; 264(108978):108978. Available from: http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2023.108978 PLOS ONE Agrarian abandonment and extreme events PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313891 February 10, 2025 17 / 22