Australian voters’ attitudes to climate action and their social-political determinants

26. Zhou N. Tony Abbott says no need to pull out of Paris climate agreement after all: The Guardian; 2019 [Available from: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/08/tony-abbott-pull-out-paris- climate-agreement-after-all. 27. Whiteman H. Australia is being devastated by climate change. So will it swing the election?: CNN; 2019 [Available from: https://edition.cnn.com/2019/05/07/australia/australia-climate-election-intl/index.html. 28. Ryan P. Climate change could slash $571b from property values, study warns: Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC); 2019 [Available from: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-05-09/climate-change- could-wipe-571b-off-property-values/11096768. 29. Ison N. After Extinction Rebellion, Australian politicians are on notice–change is coming The Guardian; 2019 [Available from: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/02/after-extinction- rebellion-australian-politicians-are-on-notice-change-is-coming. 30. Australian Electoral Commission. First preferences by party: Australian Government; 2019 [Available from: https://results.aec.gov.au/24310/Website/HouseStateFirstPrefsByParty-24310-NAT.htm. 31. Cameron S, McAllister I. The 2019 Australian Federal Election: Results from the Australian Election Study. Canberra, Australia: The Australian National University; 2019. PLOS ONE Australian voters’ attitudes to climate action and their social-political determinants PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248268 March 24, 2021 16 / 18

32. Australian Electoral Commission. House of Representatives—final results: Australian Electoral Com- mission; 2019 [Available from: https://results.aec.gov.au/24310/Website/HouseDefault-24310.htm. 33. Australian Electoral Commission. House of Representatives—final results: Australian Electoral Com- mission; 2016 [Available from: https://results.aec.gov.au/20499/Website/HouseDefault-20499.htm. 34. Colvin RM. Social identity in the energy transition: an analysis of the “Stop Adani Convoy” to explore social-political conflict in Australia. Energy Research & Social Science. 2020; 66:101492. 35. Tranter B, Foxwell-Norton K. Only in Queensland? Coal mines and voting in the 2019 Australian federal election. Environmental Sociology. 2020:1–12. 36. Social Research Centre. Life in Australia: The Social Research Centre; 2019 [Available from: https:// www.srcentre.com.au/our-research/life-in-australia-panel. 37. Hornsey MJ, Harris EA, Bain PG, Fielding KS. Meta-analyses of the determinants and outcomes of belief in climate change. Nature Climate Change. 2016; 6:622. 38. Hornsey MJ, Fielding KS. Understanding (and Reducing) Inaction on Climate Change. Social Issues and Policy Review. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1111/sipr.12051 PMID: 30930960 39. Kousser T, Tranter B. The influence of political leaders on climate change attitudes. Global Environmen- tal Change. 2018; 50:100–9. 40. Tranter B. It’s only natural: conservatives and climate change in Australia. Environmental Sociology. 2017:1–12.

41. Liddell TM, Kruschke JK. Analyzing ordinal data with metric models: What could possibly go wrong? Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 2018; 79:328–48. 42. McCrea R, Leviston Z, Walker I, Shyy T-K. Climate Change Beliefs Count: Relationships With Voting Outcomes at the 2010 Australian Federal Election. Journal of Social and Political Psychology. 2015; 3 (1):124–41. 43. Beiser-McGrath LF, Bernauer T. Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement. Nature Climate Change. 2019; 9(3):248–52. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019- 0414-z PMID: 30886650 44. Carmichael JT, Brulle RJ. Elite cues, media coverage, and public concern: an integrated path analysis of public opinion on climate change, 2001–2013. Environmental Politics. 2017; 26(2):232–52. 45. Warren B, Christoff P, Green D. Australia’s sustainable energy transition: The disjointed politics of dec- arbonisation. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 2016; 21:1–12. 46. Steg L. Limiting climate change requires research on climate action. Nature Climate Change. 2018; 8 (9):759–61. 47. Leviston Z, Greenhill M, Walker I. Australians attitudes to climate change and adaptation: 2010–2014. Australia: CSIRO; 2015. 48. Australian Bureau of Statistics. Population Projections, Australia, 2017 (base) - 2066, ABS Catalogue No. 3220, November 2018. Australian Government; 2018. 49. Tranter B. Social and political influences on environmentalism in Australia. Journal of Sociology. 2014; 50(3):331–48.

50. Tranter B. Political divisions over climate change and environmental issues in Australia. Environmental Politics. 2011; 20(1):78–96. 51. Tranter B. The Great Divide: Political Candidate and Voter Polarisation over Global Warming in Austra- lia. Australian Journal of Politics & History. 2013; 59(3):397–413. 52. Tranter B, Booth K. Scepticism in a changing climate: A cross-national study. Global Environmental Change. 2015; 33:154–64. 53. Tranter B, Skrbisˇ Z, Smith JF. Poles Apart: Political Divisions over Climate Change Among Younger Australians. Journal of Applied Youth Studies. 2020; 3(3):255–73. 54. Park CS, Chung WB, Choi YS, Kim PJ, Lee JM, Baek K-H, et al. Acute Myocardial Infarction Is a Risk Factor for New Onset Diabetes in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease. PLOS ONE. 2015; 10(8): e0136354. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0136354 PMID: 26295946 55. Dimock M. Defining generations: Where Millennials end and Generation Z begins: Pew Research Cen- tre; 2019 [Available from: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/01/17/where-millennials-end- and-generation-z-begins/. 56. Dassonneville R. Questioning generational replacement. An age, period and cohort analysis of electoral volatility in the Netherlands, 1971–2010. Electoral Studies. 2013; 32(1):37–47. 57. Krosnick JA, Alwin DF. Aging and susceptibility to attitude change. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 1989; 57(3):416–25. https://doi.org/10.1037//0022-3514.57.3.416 PMID: 2778632 PLOS ONE Australian voters’ attitudes to climate action and their social-political determinants

PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248268 March 24, 2021 17 / 18

58. Alwin DF, Cohen RL, Newcomb TM. Political attitudes over the life span: The Bennington women after fifty years: Univ of Wisconsin Press; 1991. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.bdj.4807661 PMID: 1910981 59. Pop-Eleches G, Tucker JA. Communist socialization and post-communist economic and political atti- tudes. Electoral Studies. 2014; 33:77–89. 60. Jennings MK. Political knowledge over time and across generations. Public Opinion Quarterly. 1996; 60 (2):228–52. 61. Rekker R. The lasting impact of adolescence on left-right identification: Cohort replacement and intraco- hort change in associations with issue attitudes. Electoral Studies. 2016; 44:120–31. 62. Grasso MT, Farrall S, Gray E, Hay C, Jennings W. Thatcher’s Children, Blair’s Babies, Political Sociali- zation and Trickle-down Value Change: An Age, Period and Cohort Analysis. British Journal of Political Science. 2019; 49(1):17–36. 63. Tilley J, Evans G. Ageing and generational effects on vote choice: Combining cross-sectional and panel data to estimate APC effects. Electoral Studies. 2014; 33:19–27. 64. Robinson OC. Values and adult age: findings from two cohorts of the European Social Survey. Eur J Ageing. 2012; 10(1):11–23. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10433-012-0247-3 PMID: 28804279 65. Schildkraut DJ, Marotta SA. Assessing the Political Distinctiveness of White Millennials: How Race and Generation Shape Racial and Political Attitudes in a Changing America. 2018; 4(5):158–87. 66. Jennings MK, Niemi RG. The Persistence of Political Orientations: An Over-Time Analysis of Two Gen-

erations. British Journal of Political Science. 1978; 8(3):333–63. 67. Dinas E. Opening “Openness to Change”: Political Events and the Increased Sensitivity of Young Adults. Political Research Quarterly. 2013; 66(4):868–82. 68. Barry E, Lemola J. The Right’s New Rallying Cry in Finland: ‘Climate Hysteria’: The New York Times; 2019 [Available from: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/12/world/europe/finland-populism- immigration-climate-change.html. 69. Buranyi S. This was supposed to be the climate crisis election. So what happened?: The Guardian; 2019 [Available from: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/09/climate-crisis- election-tories-brexit-media. 70. Carroll R. This was supposed to be Ireland’s climate election–what happened?: The Guardian; 2020 [Available from: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/28/this-was-supposed-to-be-irelands- climate-election-what-happened. 71. Sutter JD. Opinion: This is the climate election CNN; 2020 [Available from: https://edition.cnn.com/ 2020/09/16/opinions/trump-california-briefing-climate-election-sutter/index.html. 72. Wettengel J. Greta Thunberg visit raises profile of Hamburg ’climate election’: Clean Energy Wire; 2020 [Available from: https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/greta-thunberg-visit-raises-profile-hamburg- climate-election. 73. Kenny C. Bushfire politicking latest trick in Green New Squeal: The Australian; 2020 [Available from: https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/bushfire-politicking-latest-trick-in-green-new-squeal/ news-story/dc32997434b18fc539a7abca91ef72ab.

74. Anderson D, Chubb P, Djerf-Pierre M. Fanning the Blame: Media Accountability, Climate and Crisis on the Australian “Fire Continent”. Environmental Communication. 2018; 12(7):928–41. 75. Hughes L, Konisky DM, Potter S. Extreme weather and climate opinion: evidence from Australia. Cli- matic Change. 2020. 76. Akerlof KL, Rowan KE, La Porte T, Batten BK, Ernst H, Sklarew DM. Risky business: Engaging the pub- lic on sea level rise and inundation. Environmental Science & Policy. 2016; 66:314–23. 77. Van Oldenborgh GJ, Krikken F, Lewis S, Leach NJ, Lehner F, Saunders KR, et al. Attribution of the Aus- tralian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change. 2020. 78. Royal Commission into National Natural Disaster Arrangements. Royal Commission into National Natu- ral Disaster Arrangements Report: Australian Government; 2020 [Available from: https:// naturaldisaster.royalcommission.gov.au/publications/royal-commission-national-natural-disaster- arrangements-report. 79. Ecker UKH, Butler LH, Cook J, Hurlstone MJ, Kurz T, Lewandowsky S. Using the COVID-19 economic crisis to frame climate change as a secondary issue reduces mitigation support. Journal of Environmen- tal Psychology. 2020; 70:101464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2020.101464 PMID: 32834341 PLOS ONE Australian voters’ attitudes to climate action and their social-political determinants PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248268 March 24, 2021 18 / 18