Identifying agricultural disaster risk zones for future climate actions

as each region experiences a rise in consumption value when it is not being affected by the blocking event and a drop in consumption value when directly perturbed. In the entire economy (Fig 6(c) and 6(d)), we see that concurrent extreme weather events in all three breadbasket regions lead to the highest economic production and consumption val- ues losses while the least repercussion is also felt when China alone is forced. Individual forc- ing over the regions equally leads to both the economic production and consumption value losses over the directly affected region. From this figure, the EU suffers the largest economic production value losses when the EU alone is shocked as compared to other concurrent event scenarios that target the EU but with the economic consumption value losses slightly higher over the EU when all three regions are perturbed. The US’s greatest economic production and consumption value are experienced when all three regions are simultaneously perturbed while China suffers the highest economic production and consumption value losses when the US and China are simultaneously perturbed. A similar pattern is equally observed in the economic production and consumption value gains as each region experiences a rise in production and consumption value when it is not being affected by the blocking event. Fig 6. A comparative analysis of the various forcing scenarios on the mean agricultural production value losses 6a and consumption values losses 6b. Economic production value and consumption value losses are presented in 6c and in 6d respectively.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260430.g006 PLOS ONE Identifying agricultural disaster risk zones for future climate actions PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260430 December 2, 2021 12 / 16