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Agriculture, bioenergy, and water implications of constrained cereal trade and climate change impacts

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Supporting information S1 File. Supporting information for agriculture, bioenergy, and water implications of con- strained cereal trade and climate change impacts. This file contains figures and tables cited in the main text. (DOCX) Author Contributions Conceptualization: Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds. Data curation: Ying Zhang. Formal analysis: Ying Zhang, Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds. Funding acquisition: Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds. Investigation: Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds. Methodology: Ying Zhang, Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds, Pralit Patel. Project administration: Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise. Resources: Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise. Software: Ying Zhang, Pralit Patel. Supervision: Stephanie Waldhoff. Validation: Ying Zhang. Visualization: Ying Zhang. Writing – original draft: Ying Zhang. Writing – review & editing: Ying Zhang, Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Jae Edmonds, Pralit Patel. References 1. He X, Pan M, Wei Z, Wood EF, Sheffield J. A Global Drought and Flood Catalogue from 1950 to 2016. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 2020; 101(5):E508–E35. 2. Falkendal T, Otto C, Schewe J, Ja¨germeyr J, Konar M, Kummu M, et al. Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries. Nature Food. 2021; 2(1):11– 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7 PMID: 37117657 3. Food Security Information Network. Global report on food crises. FAO Rome; 2020.

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4. Guan D, Wang D, Hallegatte S, Davis SJ, Huo J, Li S, et al. Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures. Nature Human Behaviour. 2020; 4(6):577–87. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020- 0896-8 PMID: 32493967 5. Iizumi T, Ali-Babiker I-EA, Tsubo M, Tahir ISA, Kurosaki Y, Kim W, et al. Rising temperatures and increasing demand challenge wheat supply in Sudan. Nature Food. 2021; 2(1):19–27. https://doi.org/ 10.1038/s43016-020-00214-4 PMID: 37117661 6. Lynch DJ. Pandemic aftershocks overwhelm global supply lines 2021 [https://www.washingtonpost. com/business/2021/01/24/pandemic-shipping-economy/. 7. Reuters. Factbox: The Ever Given’s stranding in the Suez Canal2021 May 17, 2022. https://www. reuters.com/world/middle-east/ever-givens-stranding-suez-canal-2021-07-06/. 8. Kay G. From toilet paper to coffee, here are some of the products that could soon be in short supply because of the Suez Canal blockage2021 May 17, 2022. https://www.businessinsider.com/toilet-paper- coffee-products-delayed-suez-canal-blockage-impact-2021-3. 9. Puma MJ, Bose S, Chon SY, Cook BI. Assessing the evolving fragility of the global food system. Envi- ronmental Research Letters. 2015; 10(2):024007. PLOS ONE Agriculture, bioenergy, and water implications of constrained cereal trade and climate change impacts PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0291577 September 15, 2023 16 / 18