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Phenological cycles in the Pantanal woody communities: Responses to climate and soil moisture seasonality

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of the species and 36% of the individuals who exhibited leaf-shedding activity. Unlike in the previous communities, in the SHB community, the average month with a high concentration of species exhibiting defoliation activity was October, the transition period between the dry and rainy seasons. During this period, 80% of the species and 96% of the individuals in this community were active, and the event intensity was 49%. The peak community activity coin- cided with the greatest leaf fall of the pioneer and dominant species C. lanceolatum. MF presented increased leaf fall activity during the rainy and flooded seasons on the flood- plain, with the mean month having a greater concentration of species occurring in April. In that month, the frequencies of active individuals (Fig 4B) and species were 68% and 73%, respectively, as observed for the understory species M. guianensis, L. parvifolius, Triplaris americana, E. anguifugum, and Alchornea discolor. The Fournier intensity (Fig 4B) for leaf fall did not follow the same pattern as did the activity, with the dry season (July, 62%) being more intense than the wet period (49%), which was attributed mainly to the activity of the dominant species V. divergens. IS (rc = 0.07, p = 0.06) and CS (rc = 0.07, p = 0.056) presented weak seasonality in terms of leaf fall activity among the species, indicating that fluctuating concentrations of species lost their leaves throughout the year. For the IS, the leaf fall peak occurred during the wet period in

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April, with 72% of the species being active, such as E. anguifugum, T. gardneriana, and V. divergens. The Fournier intensity revealed intensity peaks during both the wet-flooded and dry phases. Similarly, CS experienced continuous leaf fall activity year-round, with high concentra- tions of active species occurring in the wet-flooded phase in March and another maximum in the dry phase in August, when 59% of the species were active. The synchronous decrease in leaf fall among individuals was sharper than that between species, with lower percentages of activity occurring during the rainy season (Oct–Feb). The frequency of active individuals increased from 22% in October to 67% in April, when the area flooded. The seasonality of leaf fall in the CS differed from the patterns found in the SHB and LSDF (Table 1). The low soil moisture variation (20%±4%) throughout the year found in the LSDF is reflected in relatively constant leaf fall throughout the year, occurring at levels less than 40% of individuals. The exception occurred in April, when 62% of individuals and 62% of the species were active at a mean Fournier intensity of 47%. The variation in the proportion of individuals who experienced leaf fall throughout the year generally followed its intensity (Fig 4B) but was not within the same magnitude and had some delays. The relationship between intrapopulation activity and intensity seems to be influenced by the species diversity (or species dominance) found in each vegetation type. The most

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diverse communities, such as the LSDF and ASDF (30 and 34 species, respectively), had rela- tively lower proportions of individuals in leaf fall during the dry season (33% and 34%, respec- tively, in July). In contrast, the less diverse communities, such as the PS (14 species), MF (15 species), and IS (16 species) communities, had high proportions of individuals with leaf fall activity in the same season (86%, 66%, and 83%, respectively). Reproductive phenology Flowering. The species’ flowering was seasonal for six out of the seven communities (excluding the ASDF community). The highest interspecific synchrony in the flowering period occurred in SHB (rc = 0.98, p = 0.001) and MF (rc = 0.83, p = 0.001) when the concentration of plants was high in August-September and June, respectively (Fig 5A). The flowering activity in the SHB was concentrated in months with low precipitation (<40 mm) and soil moisture (<8%). During this low rainfall period, 20% of the species flowered, although few individuals were active (2.17% in August) (Fig 5B). Among the seven communities, the MF presented the PLOS ONE Phenological cycles in the Pantanal woody communities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0316011 February 7, 2025 11 / 30