Past, present and future distributions of Oriental beech (Fagus orientalis) under climate change projections

S5 Fig. The probability of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pessimistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with GAM algorithm and MIROC GCM. (TIF) S6 Fig. The probability of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pessimistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with GAM algorithm and CCSM4 GCM. (TIF) S7 Fig. Probability distributions of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pessi- mistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with RF algorithm and MIROC–ESM GCM. (TIF) S8 Fig. Probability distributions of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pessi- mistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with RF algorithm and CCSM4 GCM. (TIF) S9 Fig. Probability distributions of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pessi- mistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with BIOCLIM algorithm and MIROC–ESM GCM. (TIF) S10 Fig. Probability distributions of F. orientalis predicted for the present, MH, LGM, pes- simistic (RCP 8.5) 2050 and 2070, moderate (RCP 4.5) 2050 and 2070, and optimistic (RCP 2.6) 2050 and 2070 with BIOCLIM algorithm and CCSM4 GCM. (TIF) Acknowledgments We are thankful to Abbas Şahin and the General Directorate of Forestry, Turkey, for providing

Fagus distribution data in Turkey. Valuable comments of two anonymous reviewers helped improving the final manuscript. Author Contributions Conceptualization: Dilsad Dagtekin, Evrim A. Şahan, Nesibe Ko¨se, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Data curation: Dilsad Dagtekin, Evrim A. Şahan, Thomas Denk, Nesibe Ko¨se, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Formal analysis: Dilsad Dagtekin, Evrim A. Şahan, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Funding acquisition: Thomas Denk. Investigation: Dilsad Dagtekin, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Methodology: Dilsad Dagtekin, Evrim A. Şahan, Thomas Denk, Nesibe Ko¨se, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Project administration: Nesibe Ko¨se, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Resources: Thomas Denk, Nesibe Ko¨se, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. Software: Dilsad Dagtekin, Evrim A. Şahan, H. Nu¨zhet Dalfes. PLOS ONE Species distribution modeling of Oriental beech (Fagus orientalis) PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242280 November 17, 2020 14 / 19