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Potential global distribution of Aleurocanthus woglumi considering climate change and irrigation

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Author Contributions Conceptualization: Antigoni Akrivou, Dimitrios P. Papachristos. Data curation: Antigoni Akrivou, Iro Georgopoulou, Darren J. Kriticos. Investigation: Antigoni Akrivou, Iro Georgopoulou. Methodology: Antigoni Akrivou, Iro Georgopoulou. Software: Antigoni Akrivou, Iro Georgopoulou, Darren J. Kriticos. Supervision: Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Panagiotis G. Milonas. Validation: Antigoni Akrivou, Darren J. Kriticos. Writing – original draft: Antigoni Akrivou, Iro Georgopoulou. Writing – review & editing: Antigoni Akrivou, Dimitrios P. Papachristos, Panagiotis G. Milo- nas, Darren J. Kriticos. References 1. Mack MC, Simberloff D, Lonsdale W, Evans H, Clout M, Bazzaz F. Biotic invasions: causes, epidemiol- ogy, global consequences, and control. Ecol Appl. 2000; 10: 689–710. https://doi.org/10.1890/1051- 0761(2000)010[0689:BICEGC]2.0.CO;2 2. Vilà M, Basnou C, Pysˇek P, Josefsson M, Genovesi P, Gollasch S, et al. How well do we understand the impacts of alien species on ecosystem services? A pan-European, cross-taxa assessment. Front Ecol Environ. 2010; 8(3): 135–144. https://doi.org/10.1890/080083 3. Harvey-Samuel T, Ant T, Alphey L. Towards the genetic control of invasive species. Biol Invasions. 2017; 19(6): 1683–1703. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-017-1384-6 PMID: 28620268 4. Roy HE, Bacher S, Essl F, Adriaens T, Aldridge DC, Bishop JDD, et al. Developing a list of invasive alien species likely to threaten biodiversity and ecosystems in the European Union. Glob Chang Biol. 2019; 25(3): 1032–1048. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14527 PMID: 30548757

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5. Early R, Bradley BA, Dukes JS, Lawler JJ, Olden JD, Blumenthal DM, et al. Global threats from invasive alien species in the twenty-first century and national response capacities. Nat Commun. 2016; 7: 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12485 PMID: 27549569 6. Pimentel D, Zuniga R, Morrison D. Update on the environmental and economic costs associated with alien-invasive species in the United States. Ecol Econ. 2005; 52(3 SPEC. ISS.): 273–288. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.10.002 7. Ehrenfeld JG. Ecosystem Consequences of Biological Invasions. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst. 2010; 41: 59–80. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102209-144650 8. Larson DL, Phillips-Mao L, Quiram G, Sharpe L, Stark R, Sugita S, et al. A framework for sustainable invasive species management: Environmental, social, and economic objectives. J Environ Manage. 2011; 92(1):14–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.08.025 PMID: 20832931 9. Runyon JB, Butler JL, Friggens MM, Meyer SE, Sing SE. Invasive species and climate change (Chapter 7). In: Finch Deborah M., ed. Climate change in grasslands, shrublands, and deserts of the interior American West: a review and needs assessment. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-285. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 2012. p. 97–115. 10. Hulme PE. Trade, transport and trouble: managing invasive species pathways in an era of globalization. J Appl Ecol. 2009; 46(1): 10–18. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01600.x

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11. Sardain A, Sardain E, Leung B. Global forecasts of shipping traffic and biological invasions to 2050. Nat Sustain. 2019; 2(4): 274–282. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0245-y 12. Kenis M, Branco M. Impact of alien terrestrial arthropods in Europe Chapter 5. In: Alien terrestrial arthro- pods of Europe (eds Roques A et al). BioRisk. 2010; 4(1): 51–71. https://doi.org/10.3897/biorisk.4.42 13. Huang D, Haack RA, Zhang R. Does Global Warming Increase Establishment Rates of Invasive Alien Species? A Centurial Time Series Analysis. PLoS One. 2011; 6(9): e24733. https://doi.org/10.1371/ journal.pone.0024733 PMID: 21931837 14. Bartz R, Kowarik I. Assessing the environmental impacts of invasive alien plants: a review of assess- ment approaches. NeoBiota. 2019; 43: 69–99. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.43.30122 PLOS ONE Potential global distribution of Aleurocanthus woglumi PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0261626 December 20, 2021 15 / 18