The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

Data curation: Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin, Kanishka Narayan, Alan Di Vittorio, Mar- shall Wise. Formal analysis: Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin, James Edmonds. Funding acquisition: Leon Clarke. Investigation: Abigail Snyder. Methodology: Abigail Snyder, Leon Clarke, Marshall Wise. Software: Page Kyle, Alan Di Vittorio, Marshall Wise, Pralit Patel. Supervision: Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke. Validation: Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin. Visualization: Abigail Snyder, James Edmonds, Kanishka Narayan, Stephanie Waldhoff. Writing – original draft: Abigail Snyder. Writing – review & editing: Abigail Snyder, Katherine Calvin, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Page Kyle, Alan Di Vittorio, Stephanie Waldhoff, Marshall Wise, Pralit Patel. References 1. Asseng S, Ewert F, Rosenzweig C, Jones JW, Hatfield JL, Ruane AC, et al. Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature climate change. 2013 Sep; 3(9):827–32. https://doi.org/10. 1038/nclimate1916 2. Asseng S, Ewert F, Martre P, Ro¨tter RP, Lobell DB, Cammarano D, et al. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature climate change. 2015 Feb; 5(2):143. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470 3. Blanc E, Reilly J. Climate Change Impacts on US Crops. Choices. 2015; 30(316-2016-7773). 4. Calvin K, Fisher-Vanden K. Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison. Environmental Research Letters. 2017 Oct 27; 12(11):115004. https://doi.org/10.1088/ 1748-9326/aa843c 5. Martre P, Wallach D, Asseng S, Ewert F, Jones JW, Ro¨tter RP, et al. Multimodel ensembles of wheat

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