Thông tin tài nguyên

The speed of change in climate and land cover is associated with the speed of biodiversity changes in avian assemblages of the United States

pmc-PMC12396716.pdf · Phiên bản 1 · 20 trang

18
Bản gốc
Trang 18 · Đoạn 49Vị trí nguồn

PLOS One | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0330153 August 29, 2025 18 / 20 38. Huang M, Piao S, Janssens IA, Zhu Z, Wang T, Wu D, et al. Velocity of change in vegetation productivity over northern high latitudes. Nat Ecol Evol. 2017;1(11):1649–54. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0328-y PMID: 28970570 39. Pinsky ML, Worm B, Fogarty MJ, Sarmiento JL, Levin SA. Marine taxa track local climate velocities. Science. 2013;341(6151):1239–42. https://doi. org/10.1126/science.1239352 PMID: 24031017 40. Asamoah EF, Beaumont LJ, Maina JM. Climate and land-use changes reduce the benefits of terrestrial protected areas. Nat Clim Chang. 2021;11(12):1105–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01223-2 41. Ordonez A, Martinuzzi S, Radeloff VC, Williams JW. Combined speeds of climate and land-use change of the conterminous US until 2050. Nature Clim Change. 2014;4(9):811–6. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2337 42. Acosta Alamo M, Manne LL. Rapid rates of change in multiple biodiversity measures in breeding Avian assemblages. Diversity. 2025;17(2):127. https://doi.org/10.3390/d17020127 43. Baselga A, Orme CDL. betapart: an R package for the study of beta diversity. Methods Ecol Evol. 2012;3(5):808–12. https://doi. org/10.1111/j.2041-210x.2012.00224.x 44. Burgess MD, Smith KW, Evans KL, Leech D, Pearce-Higgins JW, Branston CJ, et al. Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Nat Ecol Evol. 2018;2(6):970–5. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-018-0543-1 PMID: 29686235

Trang 18 · Đoạn 50Vị trí nguồn

45. Kellermann JL, van Riper C 3rd. Detecting mismatches of bird migration stopover and tree phenology in response to changing climate. Oecologia. 2015;178(4):1227–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-015-3293-7 PMID: 25822114 46. Blois JL, Zarnetske PL, Fitzpatrick MC, Finnegan S. Climate change and the past, present, and future of biotic interactions. Science. 2013;341(6145):499–504. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1237184 PMID: 23908227 47. Ziolkowski DJJr, Lutmerding M, Aponte VI, Hudson MR. North American breeding bird survey dataset 1966–2021: U.S. geological survey data release. Laurel, MD, USA: U.S. Geological Survey; 2022. https://doi.org/10.5066/P97WAZE5 48. Aiello‐Lammens ME, Boria RA, Radosavljevic A, Vilela B, Anderson RP. spThin: an R package for spatial thinning of species occurrence records for use in ecological niche models. Ecography. 2015;38(5):541–5. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.01132 49. Daly C, Taylor GH, Gibson WP, Parzybok TW, Johnson GL, Pasteris PA. High-quality spatial climate data sets for the United States and beyond. Trans ASAE. 2000;43(6):1957–62. https://doi.org/10.13031/2013.3101 50. Jeffree EP, Jeffree CE. Temperature and the biogeographical distributions of species. Funct Ecol. 1994;8(5):640. https://doi.org/10.2307/2389927 51. Root T. Energy constraints on avian distributions and abundances. Ecology. 1988;69(2):330–9. https://doi.org/10.2307/1940431 52. Sinnott EA, Papeş M, O’Connell TJ. Variable precipitation leads to dynamic range limits of forest songbirds at a forest-grassland ecotone. Ecol

Trang 18 · Đoạn 51Vị trí nguồn

Evol. 2021;11(16):11123–33. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7899 PMID: 34429907 53. Sohl TL. Modeled historical land use and land cover for the conterminous United States: 1938-1992: U.S. geological survey data release. 2018. Accessed 02 January 2023. https://doi.org/10.5066/F7KK99RR 54. Sohl TL. Conterminous United States land cover projections - 1992 to 2100. 2018. https://doi.org/10.5066/P95AK9HP 55. United States Department of the Interior. North America elevation. U.S. geological survey. 2007. Accessed 2023 February 15. http://www.cec.org/ north-american-environmental-atlas/elevation-2007/ 56. Belmaker J, Jetz W. Cross-scale variation in species richness-environment associations. Global Ecol Biogeo. 2010;20(3):464–74. https://doi. org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00615.x 57. Wood SN. Fast stable restricted maximum likelihood and marginal likelihood estimation of semiparametric generalized linear models. J Royal Stat Soc Series B: Stat Methodol. 2010;73(1):3–36. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2010.00749.x 58. Wood SN. Generalized additive models: An Introduction with R. Chapman and Hall/CRC; 2017. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781315370279 59. Whittaker RH. Vegetation of the Siskiyou mountains, Oregon and California. Ecol Monographs. 1960;30(3):279–338. https://doi. org/10.2307/1943563 60. Flores O, Seoane J, Hevia V, Azcárate FM. Spatial patterns of species richness and nestedness in ant assemblages along an elevational gradient in a Mediterranean mountain range. PLoS One. 2018;13(12):e0204787. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0204787 PMID: 30566476

Trang 18 · Đoạn 52Vị trí nguồn

61. Gordó-Vilaseca C, Stephenson F, Coll M, Lavin C, Costello MJ. Three decades of increasing fish biodiversity across the northeast Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023;120(4):e2120869120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2120869120 PMID: 36656855 62. Curley SR, Manne LL, Ramírez‐Garofalo JR, Veit RR. Evaluating compositional changes in the avian communities of eastern North America using temperature and precipitation indices. J Biogeo. 2022;49(4):739–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14340 63. Tayleur CM, Devictor V, Gaüzère P, Jonzén N, Smith HG, Lindström Å. Regional variation in climate change winners and losers highlights the rapid loss of cold‐dwelling species. Diversity Distributions. 2016;22(4):468–80. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12412 64. Prieto-Torres DA, Sánchez-González LA, Ortiz-Ramírez MF, Ramírez-Albores JE, García-Trejo EA, Navarro-Sigüenza AG. Climate warming affects spatio-temporal biodiversity patterns of a highly vulnerable Neotropical avifauna. Climatic Change. 2021;165(3–4). https://doi.org/10.1007/ s10584-021-03091-3 65. Palmer G, Platts PJ, Brereton T, Chapman JW, Dytham C, Fox R, et al. Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017;372(1723):20160144. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0144 PMID: 28483874