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Assessment of Red Sea temperatures in CMIP5 models for present and future climate

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Author Contributions Conceptualization: Gabriel Jordà, Carlos M. Duarte. Data curation: Miguel Agulles, Ibrahim Hoteit. Formal analysis: Miguel Agulles. Funding acquisition: Carlos M. Duarte. Investigation: Miguel Agulles, Gabriel Jordà, Carlos M. Duarte. Methodology: Miguel Agulles, Gabriel Jordà. Resources: Carlos M. Duarte. Supervision: Gabriel Jordà. Validation: Miguel Agulles. Writing – original draft: Miguel Agulles. Writing – review & editing: Gabriel Jordà, Ibrahim Hoteit, Susana Agustı´, Carlos M. Duarte. References 1. Thorne K. S., Wheeler J. A., Francisco S., Wieman C. E., Ertmer W., Schleich W. P. et al: References and Notes 1., 327(June), 1543–1548, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1206034, 2010. PMID: 22053051 2. Hughes T. P., Anderson K. D., Connolly S. R., Heron S. F., Kerry J. T., Lough J. et al: Spatial and tem- poral patterns of mass bleaching of corals in the Anthropocene, Science (80-.)., 359(6371), 80–83, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan8048, 2018. PMID: 29302011 3. Monroe A. A., Ziegler M., Roik A., Ro¨ thig T., Hardenstine R. S., Emms M. A., et al: In situ observations of coral bleaching in the central Saudi Arabian Red Sea during the 2015/2016 global coral bleaching event, PLoS One, 13(4), 1–13, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0195814, 2018. PMID: 29672556 4. Osman E. O., Smith D. J., Ziegler M., Ku¨ rten B., Conrad C., El-Haddad K. M., et al: Thermal refugia against coral bleaching throughout the northern Red Sea, Glob. Chang. Biol., 24(2), e474–e484, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13895, 2018. PMID: 29044761

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12. Cantin N. E., Cohen A. L., Karnauskas K. B., Tarrant A. M., & McCorkle D. C. (2010). Ocean warming slows coral growth in the central Red Sea. Science, 329(5989), 322–325. https://doi.org/10.1126/ science.1190182 PMID: 20647466 13. Shaltout M.: Recent sea surface temperature trends and future scenarios for the Red Sea, Oceanolo- gia, 61(4), 484–504, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceano.2019.05.002, 2019. PLOS ONE Assessment of Red Sea temperatures in CMIP5 models for present and future climate PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255505 July 30, 2021 24 / 26