Breeding range shift of the red-crowned crane (Grus japonensis) under climate change
pmc-PMC7067427.pdf · Phiên bản 1 · 16 trang
32. Moradi S, Sheykhi Ilanloo S, Kafash A, Yousefi M. Identifying high-priority conservation areas for avian biodiversity using species distribution modeling. Ecol Indic. Elsevier; 2019; 97: 159–164. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/J.ECOLIND.2018.10.003 33. wei Wu W, Gu SS, Wu J, chang Cao M, cheng Lei J, gen Xu H. Impact of climate change on distribution of breeding sites of red-crowned crane in China. J Ecol Rural Environ. 2012; 28: 243–248. 34. Wenjun L, Zijian W, Zhijun M, Hongxiao T. A regression model for the spatial distribution of red-crown crane in Yancheng Biosphere Reserve, China. Ecol Modell. 1997; 103: 115–121. https://doi.org/10. 1016/S0304-3800(97)00077-X 35. Phillips S, Dudı´k M, Schapire R. A maximum entropy approach to species distribution modeling. Proc twenty-first . . .. 2004; 655–662. https://doi.org/10.1145/1015330.1015412 36. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distribu- tions. Ecol Modell. 2006; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.07.011 37. Phillips S. A Brief Tutorial on Maxent. AT&T Research. 2008. pp. 1–38. https://doi.org/10.4016/33172.01 38. ESRI. ArcGIS Desktop: Release 10.2. Redlands CA. 2013. 39. Andriamasimanana RH, Cameron A. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of threatened forest-restricted birds in Madagascar. Ecol Evol. 2013; 3: 763–769. https://doi.org/10.1002/ ece3.497 PMID: 23610622 40. Coetzee BWT, Robertson MP, Erasmus BFN, van Rensburg BJ, Thuiller W. Ensemble models predict
important bird areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under cli- mate change. Glob Ecol Biogeogr. 2009; 18: 701–710. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00485.x 41. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A. Very high resolution interpolated climate sur- faces for global land areas. Int J Climatol. Chichester; New York: Wiley, 1989-; 2005; 25: 1965–1978. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1276 42. Ramirez J, Jarvis A. High resolution statistically downscaled future climate surfaces. http://ccafs- climate.org/; 2008. 43. Weyant J, Azar C, Kainuma M, Kejun J, Nakicenovic N, Shukla, et al. Report of 2.6 Versus 2.9 Watts/ m2 RCPP Evaluation Panel. 2009. 44. Martin GM, Bellouin N, Collins WJ, Culverwell ID, Halloran PR, Hardiman SC, et al. The HadGEM2 fam- ily of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geosci Model Dev. 2011; https://doi.org/10.5194/ gmd-4-723-2011 45. Elith J, H Graham C, P Anderson R, Dudı´k M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, et al. Novel methods improve predic- tion of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography (Cop). Wiley Online Library; 2006; 29: 129–151. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0906–7590.04596.x 46. Hanley JA, McNeil BJ. The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology. Radiological Society of North America; 1982; 143: 29–36. https://doi.org/10. 1148/radiology.143.1.7063747 PMID: 7063747 47. Allouche O, Tsoar A, Kadmon R. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: Prevalence,
kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). J Appl Ecol. 2006; 43: 1223–1232. https://doi.org/10.1111/j. 1365-2664.2006.01214.x 48. Sun K-J, Hijikata N, Ichinose T, Higuchi H. The Migration Flyways and Protection of Cranes in China. Global Environmental Research ©2015 AIRIES. 2015. 49. Fawen QIAN Guohai YU, Youzhong YU, Jun YANG, Siliang PANG, Renzu PIAO HJ. Survey of breed- ing populations of the Red-Crowned Crane (Grus japonensis) in the Songnen Plain, northeastern China. Chinese Birds. pp. 217–224. 50. Both C, Bouwhuis S, Lessells CM, Visser ME. Climate change and population declines in a long-dis- tance migratory bird. Nature. 2006; 441: 81–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04539 PMID: 16672969 51. Both C, Visser ME. Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird. Nature. 2001; 411: 296–298. https://doi.org/10.1038/35077063 PMID: 11357129 52. Martin TE, Maron JL. Climate impacts on bird and plant communities from altered animal-plant interac- tions. Nat Clim Chang. Nature Publishing Group; 2012; 2: 195–200. https://doi.org/10.1038/ nclimate1348 53. Donald PF, Donald PF, Sanderson FJ, Sanderson FJ, Burfield IJ, Burfield IJ, et al. International conser- vation policy delivers benefits for birds in Europe. Science (80-). 2007; 317: 810–813. https://doi.org/10. 1126/science.1146002 PMID: 17690296 PLOS ONE Breeding range shift of the red-crowned crane (Grus japonensis) under climate change PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0229984 March 12, 2020 16 / 16