Assessment of climate change impact on the malaria vector Anopheles hyrcanus, West Nile disease, and incidence of melanoma in the Vojvodina Province (Serbia) using data from a regional climate model

Project administration: Dusˇan Petrić. Resources: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić, Tamasˇ Petrović, Aleksandra Ignjatović- C´ upina. Supervision: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić, Emilija Nikolić-Đorić. Validation: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić. Visualization: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić, Mina Petrić. Writing – original draft: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić, Tamasˇ Petrović, Ivana Hrnja- ković-Cvjetković, Emilija Nikolić-Đorić, Mina Petrić, Gordan Mimić. Writing – review & editing: Dragutin T. Mihailović, Dusˇan Petrić, Emilija Nikolić-Đorić, Mina Petrić. References 1. Costello A, Abbas M, Allen A, Ball S, Bell S, Bellamy R, et al. Managing the health effects of climate change: lancet and University College London Institute for Global Health Commission. The Lancet. 2009; 373: 1693–1733. 2. Mihailović DT, Lalić B, Dresˇković N, Mimić G, Djurdjević V, Jančić M. Climate change effects on crop yields in Serbia and related shifts of Ko¨ppen climate zones under the SRES-A1B and SRES-A2. Int J Climatol. 2015; 35: 3320–3334. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4209 3. King LJ, Anderson LR, Blackmore CG, Blackwell MJ, Lautner EA, Marcus LC, et al. Executive summary of the AVMA One Health Initiative Task Force report. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2008; 233: 259–261. https:// doi.org/10.2460/javma.233.2.259 PMID: 18627228 4. Health—European External Action Service [Internet]. [cited 29 Mar 2019]. Available: https://eeas. europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/2348/health_ku

5. One World, One Health: OIE—World Organisation for Animal Health [Internet]. [cited 27 Mar 2019]. Available: http://www.oie.int/en/for-the-media/editorials/detail/article/one-world-one-health/ 6. Kjellstrom T, McMichael AJ. Climate change threats to population health and well-being: the imperative of protective solutions that will last. Glob Health Action. 2013;6. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v6i0.20816 PMID: 23561024 7. Jovanović M, M Bogdanović G, Mijatović Jovanović V, Jeremić P, Ac Nikolić E. Analysis of cutaneous melanoma in the province of Vojvodina. J BUON Off J Balk Union Oncol. 2009; 14: 441–6. 8. Petrović T, Sˇ ekler M, Petrić D, Lazić S, Debeljak Z, Vidanović D, et al. Methodology and results of inte- grated WNV surveillance programmes in Serbia. PLOS ONE. 2018; 13: e0195439. https://doi.org/10. 1371/journal.pone.0195439 PMID: 29624622 9. Petrić D, Petrović T, Hrnjaković Cvjetković I, Zgomba M, Milosˇević V, Lazić G, et al. West Nile virus “cir- culation” in Vojvodina, Serbia: Mosquito, bird, horse and human surveillance. Mol Cell Probes. 2017; 31: 28–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mcp.2016.10.011 PMID: 27777104 10. Zeller H, Lenglet A, Bortel WV. West Nile virus: the need to strengthen preparedness in Europe. Euro- surveillance. 2010; 15: 19647. https://doi.org/10.2807/ese.15.34.19647-en PMID: 20807490 11. World Health Organization, World Malaria Report 2018. Geneva: The Organization; 2018. 12. Vakali A, Patsoula E, Spanakos G, Danis K, Vassalou E, Tegos N, et al. Malaria in Greece, 1975 to

2010. Euro Surveill Bull Eur Sur Mal Transm Eur Commun Dis Bull. 2012; 17. 13. Epidemiological update: West Nile virus transmission season in Europe, 2018 [Internet]. [cited 09Sep 2019]. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/epidemiological-update-west-nile-virus- transmission-season-europe-2018 14. Wilson N, Lush D, Baker MG. Meteorological and climate change themes at the 2010 International Con- ference on Emerging Infectious Diseases. Euro Surveill Bull Eur Sur Mal Transm Eur Commun Dis Bull. 2010;15. 15. Calzolari M, Pautasso A, Montarsi F, Albieri A, Bellini R, Bonilauri P, et al. West Nile virus surveillance in 2013 via mosquito screening in northern Italy and the influence of weather on virus circulation. PLoS One. 2015; 10: e0140915. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0140915 PMID: 26488475 16. Apalla Z, Lallas A, Sotiriou E, Lazaridou E, Ioannides D. Epidemiological trends in skin cancer. Dermatol Pract Concept. 2017; 7: 1. Impact of climate change on malaria vector, West Nile disease, and incidence of melanoma PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0227679 January 15, 2020 14 / 17